DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Phoenix is beating the rest of the country on inflation — on paper anyway
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-18 | by ( Brian Cheung | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

PHOENIX, AZ- The Phoenix skyline is seen from the ferris wheel at the Arizona State Fair on Oct. 8, 2022, in Phoenix, Arizona. Joshua Lott/The Washington Post | Getty ImagesPhoenix is closer to winning the war on inflation than most other cities. "Housing inflation remains my most valuable indicator for the immediate future," Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said last month. And in Phoenix so far, both rents and home sales have cooled down over the last year. 'Past the worst' of a housing crunchRent's impact on inflation

Persons: Joshua Lott, Joe Biden's, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: PHOENIX, Arizona State Fair, Washington Post, Getty, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reserve Bank of Chicago Locations: AZ, Arizona, Phoenix , Arizona, Phoenix, —, Maricopa County

☆ Why China poses a growing threat to the U.S. auto industry
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, whose company operates a large plant in China, has said Chinese automakers are the greatest competitors for his Texas-based company. "They were 26% [market share] a few years ago, up to more than 50% in 2022 and headed towards two-thirds by the end of the decade." Chinese companies have begun expanding into Mexico, Europe and elsewhere, Wakefield said. The EU believes Chinese EVs are undercutting the prices of local models by about 20% in the European market. The influx of Chinese EVs has spurred the European Union to launch into government support for the industry.

Persons: —, Carlos Tavares, Elon Musk, Tesla, Musk, BYD, Massimo Pinca, Reuters BYD, Kristin Dziczek, Mathew Vachaparampil, Bernstein, Eunice Lee, Mark Wakefield, Evelyn Cheng, hasn't, Wakefield, That's Organizations: GM, Shanghai International Automobile Industry, National Exhibition, Convention Center, Visual China, Getty, DETROIT, American, of, SAIC, Dongfeng, General Motors, U.S . Bureau, Analysis, America —, Chrysler, America's GM, Ford Motor, automakers, The New York Times, Economist, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's, Caresoft, Overseas, Chicago, CNBC, European Union, EU, Union, Volvo, Karma, Ford, U.S, Buick, Lincoln Nautilus Locations: Shanghai, U.S, of China, Asia, Europe, China, Japan, Nio, Mexico, Korea, Germany, Beijing, Texas, Turin, Italy, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Detroit, AlixPartners, Russia, America

“Any time we’ve had a serious cut to the inflation rate, it’s come with a major recession," Goolsbee said in an interview with The Associated Press. “And so the golden path is a ... bigger soft landing than conventional wisdom believes has ever been possible. Last week, the government reported that inflation cooled in October, with core prices — which exclude volatile food and energy prices — rising just 0.2% from September. The year-over-year increase in core prices — 4% — was the smallest in two years. The Fed tracks core prices because they are considered a better gauge of inflation's future path.

Persons: Goolsbee, we’ve, ” Goolsbee, “, Susan Collins, ” Collins, hasn't Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Associated Press, Wall, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

☆ Austan Goolsbee Says Fed Will Need to Monitor Risks of Overshooting on Rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed president, says how long to hold rates at the current level could be shaped by whether external shocks hit the economy. Photo: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg NewsA Federal Reserve official said the central bank will need to pay close attention to the effects of higher longer-term bond yields to make sure they don’t slow the economy more than expected over the coming year. Austan Goolsbee , president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said in an interview Wednesday the recent run-up of longer-term borrowing costs could become more important as the central bank shifts its focus from how high to raise interest rates and toward how long to hold them near a 22-year high.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, David Paul Morris Organizations: Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Goolsbee’s ‘golden path’ is still visible
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLast month's sudden surge in Treasury yields and oil prices — both of which tend to suppress investors' appetite for stocks — looks to be ending. As Treasury yields serve as the benchmark for interest rates on loans and cash investments, sinking yields generally benefit rate-sensitive companies more. Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC, "Because of some of the strangeness of this moment, there is the possibility of the golden path ... that we got inflation down without a recession."

Persons: Goolsbee, David Paul Morris, they're, WTI's, that's, Alastair Pinder, Austan Goolsbee, — Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Treasury, Big Tech, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, U.S . Federal, HSBC, Chicago Federal Locations: Moran , Wyoming, That's, Israel

WASHINGTON (AP) — An inflation gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve rose in August, boosted mainly by higher gas prices. Friday's report from the Commerce Department showed that prices rose 0.4% from July to August, up from just 0.2% the previous month. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, though, “core” inflation rose by the smallest amount in nearly three years, evidence that inflation pressures continue to ease. Compared with a year earlier, overall prices rose 3.5% in August, slightly higher than the 3.4% increase in July. The inflation gauge that was issued Thursday, called the personal consumption expenditures price index, is separate from the better-known consumer price index.

Persons: ” Rubeela Farooqi, ’ paychecks, Austan Goolsbee, ” Goolsbee, “, ” Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Commerce Department, Fed, Republicans, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Locations: July’s

☆ Paul Krugman says 'the war on inflation has been pretty much won — without a recession'
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The economist Paul Krugman says the war on inflation is pretty much over. This points to a "Goldilocks" scenario, in which inflation cools without a recession. That's perhaps what happened last month, when core inflation was "distorted by lags in the measured price of shelter," Krugman wrote on X, formerly called Twitter. He pointed to what some call a "Goldilocks" scenario, in which inflation cools without a recession. Notably, among items seeing lower inflation, nearly three in four had an increase in the actual quantity bought by consumers.

Persons: Paul Krugman, disinflation, Krugman, Mike Konczal, Konczal, Patience Organizations: Service, New York Times, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Roosevelt Institute Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine

☆ The Fed's own economists now expect a Goldilocks scenario: No recession, low inflation, and positive growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Economists from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago predict inflation will cool without a recession. "That model implies larger effects of monetary policy and faster policy transmission than other empirical models," the economists said. So far, based on the analysis, tighter policy has resulted in 5.4 percentage points in the level of real GDP and 7.1 percentage points in CPI. That represents about 65% and 75% of the total tightening effects on the levels of real GDP and CPI, respectively, that will occur, according to the model. Policy has reduced total hours worked by about 4 percentage points, or about 40% of the total effect that is ultimately projected.

Persons: Stefania D'Amico, Thomas King, D'Amico, King, Henry Blodget Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Service, Consumer, Index, CPI Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ CHART OF THE DAY: This is the clearest sign yet that the economy will avoid a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The US economy could be slipping into an expansion rather than a recession, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. Lee highlighted that earnings revisions for S&P 500 companies have started to turn higher. The positive earnings revisions by analysts might be the clearest sign yet that the US economy is going to avoid a recession, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. To me that's slipping into an expansion, it's not a recession. "The upturn in S&P 500 profit estimates is a strong argument the US economy is slipping into an expansion.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Locations: Fundstrat, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

☆ The Fed's next move after raising rates to fight inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-20 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Some investors are betting on rate cuts as soon as early next year, perhaps on expectations that the economy might soon deteriorate. If unemployment spikes because of higher interest rates, for example, the Fed would likely cut rates to stem job losses under its mandate of maximum employment. The Fed’s tough talk has rattled the bond market, helping push up long-dated yields. In addition to the possibility of cutting rates because of an economic downturn, the Fed could also cut rates if inflation slows too much. “If the Fed sees that inflation goes below the 2% target, they could start decreasing interest rates, but I don’t think they are going to start decreasing interest rates until that happens,” said Eugenio Alemán, chief economist at Raymond James.

Persons: there’s, Rather, Austan Goolsbee, Mike Hackett, they’ve, ”, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, Melissa Brown, China’s ‘ Lehman, Laura, Mengchen Zhang, Technology —, Zhongrong, Read, Thomas Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Kansas City Fed’s, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Treasury, Nationwide, CNN, Fed, Service, KBC Corporation, Xianheng, Science, Technology, National Association of Realtors, Body, Nvidia, Kansas City, Global, US Commerce Department, Labor Department, Central Bank Locations: Washington, “, China, BJ’s, Abercrombie, Kansas

☆ What Wall Street needs to know about UAW talks, a potential strike, and what it could all cost
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

AEG estimates the total economic loss by calculating potential losses to UAW workers, the manufacturers and to the auto industry more broadly if the sides cannot reach tentative agreements before the current contracts expire. $825 millionThe UAW has more than $825 million in its strike fund, which it uses to pay eligible members who are on strike. The strike pay is $500 per week for each member – up from $275 in 2022. Assuming 150,000 or so eligible workers, that's all-in weekly strike pay of about $75 million. The UAW is scheduled to hold a procedural strike authorization vote next week, which would grant union leaders the ability to strike, if warranted.

Persons: Michael Wayland, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Shawn Fain, there's, Melissa Atkins, Kristin Dziczek, Rebecca Cook, Stellantis, Fain, Joe Biden, Leah Millis Organizations: United Auto Workers, General Motors, Hamtramck Assembly, CNBC DETROIT, U.S, GM, Ford Motor, New UAW, UAW, Detroit, Bloomberg News, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's, Sterling Heights Assembly, Center for Automotive Research, Fiat Chrysler, Ford, Anderson Economic Group, AEG, Deutsche Bank, Reuters Locations: Detroit, Hamtramck, Omaha, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's Detroit, Sterling Heights, Sterling Heights , Michigan, U.S, Michigan, Warren , Michigan

☆ Nvidia, key Powell speech to take center stage next week in midst of Wall Street's August woes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The week ahead will "revolve around three things," Infrastructure Capital Management CEO Jay Hatfield remarked on the week ahead. "Nvidia's earnings, Nvidia's earnings and, to a lesser degree, Jackson Hole." Nvidia earnings Many investors expect Nvidia will beat expectations for the second quarter when it reports results next Wednesday . More commentary from Jackson Hole If Nvidia is the key microeconomic event next week, Jackson Hole will dominate macroeconomic discussion. Powell delivers his address at the annual central bank forum hosted by the Kansas City Fed next Friday morning.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jay Hatfield, Jackson, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Hans Mosesmann, Hatfield, Powell, Ross Mayfield, Ray Farris, Fed Governor Bowman, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal, Infrastructure Capital Management, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fitch, Federal Reserve, BMO, Nvidia, Rosenblatt Securities, Infrastructure Capital Management's, Kansas City Fed, Fed, Infrastructure Capital, Credit Suisse, Richmond Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, PMI, New, Body, Devices, Autodesk, Chicago, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Intuit, Ulta Locations: , Wyoming, China, Infrastructure Capital Management's Hatfield, Powell, . Kansas, Michigan

☆ Ahead of two key inflation reports, what would a soft landing look like exactly?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-06 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

But aside from simply skirting a recession, it’s not obvious what the economy would look like in a soft landing. And who even declares that the Fed has officially defied the odds and achieved a soft landing? The main aspect of a soft landing, according to economists, is the absence of a recession, which is determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER.) In a soft landing, the job market has to remain intact. The other key feature of a soft landing is for the Fed to successfully control inflation, but that’s open to some interpretation.

Persons: we’ve, ”, Kayla Bruun, “, Julia Pollak, ” Pollak, Josh Markman, cooldown, Austan Goolsbee, ” Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Patrick Harker, Armour, Ralph Lauren Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Fed, National Bureau of Economic Research, Morning, Atlanta, ZipRecruiter, Labor, Bel Air Investment Advisors, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Bloomberg, Atlanta Fed, “, Tyson Foods, UPS, Fox, Restaurant Brands, The National Federation of Independent Business, US Commerce Department, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Disney, US Labor Department, National Statistics, University of Michigan Locations: Washington

☆ Morning Bid: Beijing stimulus given benefit of the doubt
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Yet that merely stoked wagers Beijing would have to dole up sizable stimulus at some point or risk social unrest, particularly with youth unemployment rising. So far, domestic investors seem to be giving Beijing the benefit of the doubt - foreign funds have been shunning Chinese stocks for a while. Any rise in Japan's paltry yields should, theoretically, be a plus for the yen and a negative for yen-funded carry trades. This in part reflects the still huge gulf between Japan rates and emerging markets and the fact that many carry trades are funded at one month rates and rolled over. Right now, investors can still borrow yen for one month at -0.1% to buy pesos and earn 11.1%.

Persons: Wayne Cole, China's, it's, That's, Austan Goolsbee, Sam Holmes Organizations: Beijing, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Western Digital Corp, Aercap, Thomson Locations: Wayne, Beijing, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Chicago

☆ Expect more rate hikes from the Fed after the latest jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Job gains remain robust, wage growth is still going strong, and unemployment continues to hover near historic lows. That means the job market is still fueling demand in the economy, which the Fed has been trying to slow through rate hikes. Assessing the labor marketThe Fed wants to see the labor market slow down broadly, bringing it into “better balance,” as Powell has frequently described it. And there has been some progress on bringing the job market back into better balance while inflation has come down. “The focus is on the path of wage inflation because of its pass-through to services inflation,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon IM.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, “, ”, Lorie Logan, John Williams, Jerome Powell, Powell, Dave Gilbertson, Powell homed, Goolsbee, Gilbertson, Sonia Meskin, Joe Biden’s Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Central Bank Research Association, ” Fed, New, ”, CNN, Labor, CNBC, BNY Mellon, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, New York, April’s

☆ You're more likely to live the American dream in Germany, Denmark, or Australia
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

But a child born in poverty in America is more likely to face poverty in adulthood than in many Western countries. Recent research shows that's more likely to happen in Denmark, Germany, Australia, and the UK. Their finding: "Intergenerational poverty in the U.S. is four times stronger than in Denmark and Germany, and twice as strong as in Australia and the UK." Bocconi University, Rockwool Foundation and Stockholm UniversityThis table shows what the researchers call "intergenerational persistence of poverty" across five countries. So yes, you're more likely to experience the American Dream in many countries outside the US.

Persons: —, Pedro Nicolaci da Costa Organizations: Service, Bocconi University, Rockwool Foundation, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Locations: America, Denmark, Germany, Australia, U.S, American, Danish, Canada

☆ Premarket stocks: Will the debt ceiling debate finish the Fed's inflation fight?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

New York CNN —Over the last 14 months, the Federal Reserve has taken a deliberate and economically painful approach to combating elevated inflation rates through interest rate hikes. The regional banking crisis and a possible debt-ceiling induced default on US debt could change all of that. What’s happening: There are two policy options that the Fed can use to address elevated inflation. For the first quarter, Lowe’s said overall sales fell 5.5% to $22.3 billion. Home Depot missed on first quarter sales and lowered its outlook for the year after customers slowed their spending.

Persons: shouldn’t, ”, Laurence Ball, Edward Boehne, Jerome Powell, Ben Bernanke, Powell, Ball, there’s, Austan Goolsbee, “, Julian Brigden, Bernanke, ” Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard, Bryan Mena, Blanchard, David Goldman, Parija, Lowe’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Johns Hopkins University, ” Former Philadelphia Fed, Fed, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Yahoo Finance, Partners, International Monetary Fund, Brookings Institution, Target, Walmart, Home Depot Locations: New York, ”, Washington ,, America, California

☆ Fed survey: Banks are tightening up their lending standards after rate hikes, turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Survey respondents attributed the changes in lending standards to economic uncertainty, a reduced appetite for risk, deterioration in collateral values and broader concerns about banks’ funding costs and liquidity positions, according to the Fed report. At the time, banks expected that trend of tightening credit, waning demand and deteriorating loan quality would continue. Fed president: Central bank should weigh effectsFederal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said in an interview with Yahoo! Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have previously noted that credit tightening could act similarly to a rate hike. A ‘salient risk’Separately on Monday, the Fed released its semi-annual Financial Stability Report, which assesses the resilience of the US financial system.

☆ Apple and fintechs like Robinhood chase yield-hungry depositors as Fed rate hikes continue
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Rohan Goswami | In Rohangoswamicnbc | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Last month, the iPhone maker launched its Apple Card savings account with a generous 4.15% APY in partnership with Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs . "It's really a trade-off for consumers, between safety or the appearance of safety, and yield," Laplanche told CNBC. Still, the emerging group of high-yield savings products are much more mainstream than what the crypto platforms were promoting. SoFi launched its high-yield savings account in February of last year. In its annual SEC filing, the company said that offering checking and high-yield savings accounts provided "more daily interactions with our members."

☆ How shadow bankers are already emerging as winners in the SVB collapse
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Rebecca Ungarino | Dakin Campbell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But the momentum already behind the secretive private credit space has picked up — fast. He was witnessing a new willingness from borrowers to turn first to private credit, a market that has grown yet generally remains more opaque than its public-market counterparts. "Borrowers used to look at these banks and say, 'Look, the banks, they've been around forever. The private lenders say that privacy is all part of the pitch. Money managers smell opportunityThe momentum already behind the secretive private credit space has gained steam as the SVB collapse pushes companies to consider alternate sources of debt and, on the other side, private credit managers seek out new targets.

Responding to SVB’s failure, the central bank promised to make available additional liquidity to banks and other deposit-taking institutions. By reassuring depositors, the central bank aims to prevent runs on other institutions and contagion through the financial system. And by promising to buy high-quality assets at face value, the central bank is trying to forestall a fire sale that could depress valuations and become self-reinforcing. POLICY AND SUPERVISIONThe central bank’s intervention has highlighted the complex interaction between monetary policy and bank supervision. But given the spillovers between monetary policy and supervision, the offer of additional liquidity is probably not enough to insulate monetary policy from financial stability considerations.

☆ UAW leadership faces historic upheaval ahead of union negotiations with Detroit automakers
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

DETROIT – As the United Auto Workers prepares for what are expected to be highly contentious negotiations with the Detroit automakers later this year, the union's leadership is undergoing its largest upheaval in decades. The shuffle follows a years-long federal investigation that uncovered systemic corruption involving bribery, embezzlement and other crimes among the top ranks of the organized labor group. A reform group called UAW Members United has successfully campaigned to elect five new representatives to the 14-member board, but not all seats are settled. For investors, UAW negotiations are typically a short-term headwind every four years that result in higher costs. Canadian union Unifor will also be simultaneously negotiating this year with the Detroit automakers, adding even more complexity and competition for investments and jobs.

☆ Premarket stocks: Don't underestimate the American shopper
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

All that extra cash should support strong spending through February and perhaps March, said Bank of America analysts. That means the Fed may use the strong data as an excuse to keep hiking interest rates. Recession risk may be deferred, but it certainly hasn’t dissipated.”PPI, housing starts and bald spots: What investors are watching today▸ Thursday morning brings two big data releases: The January Producer Price Index and housing starts. ▸ Housing starts, a measure of new home construction, have declined every month since August. Housing starts are expected to decline slightly.

Austan Goolsbee, currently president of the Chicago Fed, served as a top economic adviser to former President Barack Obama. The White House is considering nominating Austan Goolsbee , who became president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago last month, to serve as vice chair of the Federal Reserve’s board of governors, according to people familiar with the matter. Mr. Goolsbee, 53, served as a top economic adviser to former President Barack Obama and before his appointment this year was a professor of economics at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business.

☆ The used electric car market is starting to take off as prices slowly drop
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Alexa St. John | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

At first glance, today's product pipeline might not paint a good picture for the future of the used EV market. "If what we've produced in the last couple of years has been a rich mix, when that goes into the used market, that keeps used prices elevated as well," Dziczek said. Overall declines for used vehicle prices also generally apply to used EVs. Used EVs remain more expensive than used gas-cars, and many might not yet qualify for the used EV tax credit based on its price cap. Dealers are starting to feel incentivized to drop used EVs priced close to the cap to just below it.

Search resuls for: "Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago"

25 mentions found